Play to Win at Roulette: An Introduction

We invite you use our roulette analysis software. After you have used it for a while we believe you will be reluctant to play roulette again without it by your side

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Our roulette analysis software is a web-based tool that analyses the results of spins at a roulette table. Our objective is to expose any bias that may be present in the wheel and thereby give you, the punter, an edge over the casino. Our software is not a roulette system. No roulette system has ever been proved to work that is based upon statistical analysis of random numbers. The only way to get an edge on the casino is firstly to understand what a roulette wheel actually is and then exploit any weakness that it may have.

Real casino wheels

A roulette wheel is simply a disk that has pockets set into its circumference and is free to spin within a smooth channel. That’s it, nothing more. So what is the game of roulette? It’s simple: Someone projects a small ball in one direction along the channel while at the same time the wheel is spun in the other direction. The objective of the game is for you to guess into which pocket the ball will land.

So what are we talking about here? Ballistics and a mechanical device – that’s all. The universal laws of physics NOT the laws of statistics govern all mechanical devices. Think about it. If you knew the dimensions of the wheel, its rate of acceleration from rest, its speed of rotation, the force applied to the ball, the gradient of the channel in which the ball runs etc you would be able to work out precisely which slot the ball will land in and win every time. It’s the same laws that program a rocket to rendezvous with a distant planet at a precise time and place in the universe.

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Of course it’s not as simple as that. For one thing you are unlikely to know most of these parameters, so what can be done? Suppose you took a video of a roulette wheel and then played the track back in slow motion. There are many software packages around that will allow you to do this – frame by frame. You could record the time it took the ball to move from the point of release to landing in a slot. You could also work out the rate of rotation of the wheel. It’s unlikely that a real casino would allow you take a video of one of their wheels. However some online games are broadcast on the tv network so offer an opportunity to do this. This gives you a chance to analyse the wheel in minute detail simply by recording a session onto your computer. However you don’t actually need to do this yourself because we have done it for you. (You can’t do this online by the way because of the latency of the internet – only a real-time broadcast will do)

The results of this analysis are built into our software. The task is not straightforward though and to understand why you have to look a little more deeply. If you look at a roulette wheel you will see that the channel in which the ball moves is dotted with hazards. There are usually two inline with the channel and another two at 90 degrees. The effect of these hazards is to either propel the ball further by giving it more momentum or cutting the spin short. So a measurement of how long it takes the ball to move from the point of release to the slot it lands in can only be an average over time. The other factor that affects the movement of the ball is the force with which the ball is released. In a real casino a croupier releases the ball. Each croupier inevitably will release the ball and shift the wheel with more or less force.

A licensed casino will have to use a certified wheel. This means that the bearings and mechanism comply with a standard. The casino fools you into believing that a balanced wheel together with a human croupier guarantees that the wheel will be a perfect random number generator. The very opposite is true. The behaviour of a perfect wheel by definition can be predictable and it’s impossible for a human operator not to drift into a pattern whereby the force they employ to spin the wheel and project the ball is also measurable. The only part of the equation that is in any way random is that caused by the physical hazards in the path of the ball.

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Real wheels online

So far we have been talking about real wheels in real casinos. Exactly the same arguments apply to real wheels that are physically located in casinos but can be played on-line. You view the actual table and croupiers at work so it’s as though you were sat at the table itself. www.dublinbet.com is a good example and you have two tables to choose from. Other variations on this are real wheels in tv studios with live broadcasts online and on tv. www.supercasino.com or www.challengejackpot.com are good examples. In the case of studio based wheels it’s not clear if the same wheel is used for an entire session.

Autowheels

An autowheel is a real physical wheel but no croupier is involved. The development of these wheels has created big business for online casinos. They can operate 24/7 without the cost of employing a person to operate it. An autowheel works by pneumatics. The ball is propelled and the wheel spun by an automatic mechanism. Whilst this is a moneymaking machine for the casino, it also presents an amazing opportunity for wheel analysis. With the human operator eliminated, one variable is removed from the equation. We have had great success analysing autowheels. The other benefit of playing an autowheel is the time between spins. There is no wasted time listening to nonsensical conversation from a tv presenter, in the case of a studio based wheel, and no time wasted waiting for a croupier to count chips at a real casino table.

Spoof wheels – computer animations

These are the biggest con ever. What is the point of animating a casino table and a spinning wheel and the stupid sound of a non-existent ball dropping into a slot? It’s absolute nonsense and has nothing to do with roulette. All that’s needed is a box on the screen into which a random number is displayed. Never ever bet on a spoof wheel. A computer generated random number with casino odds will never yield a profit. Don’t do it.

Table layout – confusing the issue

Winning at roulette, as we have tried to show, has nothing to do with colours or numbers. To get an edge over the casino you have to analyse the mechanics of the wheel. The fact that the slots are numbered from 0 to 36 and coloured alternately red/ black is irrelevant. They could equally each have a pictogram and any number of colours. The notion of red/black odd /even first dozen etc is a smoke screen developed by casinos over the years to confuse the player. The layout of the betting table has no bearing on the reality of the wheel itself.

What does our software do

Any idea that winning at roulette has anything to do with numbers is nonsense. We attempt to predict the winning slot that just happens to be identified by a number. To identify a single slot is an impossible task but by analysing the wheel over a period of spins our software attempts to identify a wining sector. In the limit you could bet one chip on every number – ie the sector is the whole wheel. This would not yield a profit because there are 37 numbers and the casino only pays out 35:1. You may decide to bet on half the wheel. Or a third etc. But you are always betting on a sector (or neighbourhood as it’s sometimes called). Randomly choosing a sector is as pointless as choosing any set of random numbers. You only bet on a sector that is displaying bias.

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We have analysed hundreds of sessions of real wheels. No matter what a casino may say about a fair wheel, in almost all cases the wheel displays a bias. By bias we mean that over time the ball is landing in one sector of the wheel rather than another. You may think that making the sector as big as possible would yield a better result. So betting on an 18 slot sector would yield more than betting on say a 10 slot sector. In our research this proves not to be true. In the hundreds of analyses we have done it turns out that the most profitable sector is 9 wide. In other words you only need to risk 9 units on each spin in order to yield the most profit. It sounds counter intuitive but we challenge anyone to prove this wrong.

The initial conditions of the spin are of importance. Watch carefully and observe how the spin is initiated. The croupier will stop the wheel with a hand on the ball. The ball will be located in the slot of the last winning number. The wheel will then be spun in one direction and the ball in another. Each spin is in the opposite direction to the last one. This is more obvious with an online autowheel. Our software is programmed with knowledge of the physical location of the ball at the start of each spin.

We are shifting the odds in your favour by exposing any bias the wheel may have. That wheels have bias is not in doubt. It also turns out that the bias shifts over time. Our software detects this. If there is no clear bias you don’t bet, it’s as simple as that. If the wheel is truly random you must walk away as you are bound to lose. The results are startling when displayed graphically. What causes a shifting bias is unclear. It could be an unbalanced or indeed fixed wheel. Most likely it’s caused by the natural rhythm that croupiers develop or in the case of autowheels the limited scope of the pneumatic mechanism. What ever it is – it happens and our software finds it – It’s the only way to get an edge over the casino.

We invite you use our roulette analysis software. After you have used it for a while we believe you will be reluctant to play roulette again without it by your side

Check it out: register now and download